Thanks to Goonswarm sweeping through Branch and Tenal, this came to pass. Both alliances are pale shadows of their previous selves. Raiden is now an HBC pet alliance. White Noise, somewhere, under a rock, perhaps.
Shadow of xXDeathXx space in the east will have been swallowed and divvied up between Solar Fleet and Intrepid Crossing. The east will be a tripartite block of Solar Fleet, Red Alliance and Intrepid Crossing.
Shadow certainly was walloped by Solar and IRC, and their territory was divided. The east's three largest alliances were Solar Fleet, IRC and Red Alliance, though briefly. Red Alliance, was eventually spanked twice in one year. First, forced to move west to Delve/Querious by Solar, then forced into NPC nullsec exile by the HBC and CFC.
Intrepid Crossing will actually shrug off an attack by Goonswarm later in the year.
I, of course, meant a major assault. Not just any attack. But no assault on Cobalt Edge happened this year. The CFC cares about tech moons, not crappy space at the buttend of nowhere.
Test Alliance will fail-cascade later in the year, when Fountain begins to be whittled away by Cascade Imminent. Goonswarm will not assist, their larger sovereignty holdings (Branch and Tenal) claiming their attention.
This did not happen. Not even a little bit. Rather, Test Alliance continued to grow, subsuming three more regions, and then helping their pals, The Initiative, take over a fourth. They also grew into the largest alliance in the game, with over 9000 members.
The Mittani will run for CSM7 and continue on as chairman.
This happened. He claimed 10000 votes. But then other things happened, which we'll get to shortly.
Kelduum Revaan will make it onto CSM7. He will pretty much parrot whatever The Mittani wants where non-highsec issues are concerned. They'll let him lobby CCP for corporate interface changes. He'll be known as The Spreadsheet Candidate.
He didn't have The Mittani to follow, but he certainly did propose a variety of corporate interface changes to CCP. And he spent a great deal of time spreadsheeting the effects of mineral compression on super-capital manufacturing to present to CCP. I'll call this a win.
The Mittani will drop from CSM7 before his term is up. Burn out will be the reason.
This sorta happened. Though not due to burn out. And not of his own volition. A bumble at fanfest, a drunken mistake, and he was forced to resign his position shortly after winning the election.
DUST 514 will be a moderate success on release. The major complaint of DUST will be that it feels like an incomplete release. Much like Incarna was a quarter of what it should have been, same with DUST 514. Far too few environments to do battle in, far too few vehicles and weapons to choose from. By the time the game is complete it will have drifted into niche territory, with currently subscribed EVE Online players the majority of the paying DUST 514 players.
Well, DUST has not yet been released. Last year they announced a July 2012 release. It's still in beta.
The Summer Expansion will be hailed an even greater success than Crucible.
This one is debatable. When Inferno was announced and released, it had much larger iterations than Crucible. The excitement level from the playerbase was very high. Yet, as the summer wore on, problems with Inferno began to appear. I doubt many would now consider it a more successful release than Crucible. I'll call it a half win. At release, people were calling Inferno better than Crucible. Over time, the opinion on Inferno has shifted quite a bit. Inferno is no Incarna, but it is not Crucible either.
Pandemic Legion will win Alliance Tournament X.
This did not happen.
War declaration mechanics will remain as is throughout 2012. Fear that unhappy carebears will unsubscribe will be the unspoken reason (even though this has never been a problem in the last seven years.)
War declaration mechanics were revamped in the Inferno expansion. The wardec system was improved, though new problems eventually came to light.
CCP will introduce more mechanics to increase safety in high security space. Ganking will become more difficult. Hulkageddon V will be the last successful, impactful Hulkageddon.
It's hard to say what will become of Hulkageddon VI next year. Certainly since Hulkageddon V, CCP has beefed up mining barges defenses. (They are still gankable, you just need a few more ships to accomplish the deed.)
PLEX prices will hit 325M ISK before year end.
PLEX prices hit 620M a month ago, and are reapproaching that amount. How nice it would be if PLEX were selling for 325M ISK. I'm not positive, but I think at the beginning of 2012, PLEX prices were around 400M, and I was expecting a drop to mid-2011 levels.